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Witness Testimony

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Keywords from Transcript

group life insurance data, excess mortality 2021, Society of Actuaries report, working-age deaths rise, BLS disability increase, employed disability surge, vaccine rollout timeline, actuarial anomaly claim, all-cause mortality review, financial risk modeling, insurance industry impact, corporate earnings warnings, pandemic data correlation, public health policy critique, economic consequences

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Mr. Edward Dowd

Financial Analyst

Expert

Witness ID:

NCI-W-205

Hearing

Vancouver

British Columbia

Date:

May 3, 2023

Report

Inquiry into the Appropriateness and Efficacy of the COVID-19 Response in Canada; November 2023

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Main Topic

Analysis of excess mortality, disability trends, and insurance industry data following COVID-19 vaccine rollout.

One Line Summary

Financial analyst presents insurance and labor data indicating excess mortality and rising disability among working-age populations following vaccine rollout.

Synopsis

Edward Dowd, a former Wall Street portfolio manager and founding partner of Phinance Technologies, testified regarding statistical analysis of mortality and disability data in the United States following the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines. He stated that he reviewed publicly available group life insurance data from the Society of Actuaries and observed elevated excess mortality among working-age individuals in 2021 compared to historical baselines. He testified that these increases were significant relative to normal actuarial expectations.
Dowd further described analysis of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics disability data, which he stated showed an increase in reported disabilities among employed individuals beginning in 2021. He presented correlations between vaccine rollout timelines and observed increases in disability and excess mortality, while acknowledging that correlation alone does not establish causation. He characterized the patterns as statistically unusual and warranting further investigation.
He also testified regarding broader financial and economic implications, including impacts on insurance industry performance, corporate risk exposure, and workforce participation. Dowd stated that actuarial anomalies should prompt transparent review by regulatory and public health authorities and called for independent examination of all-cause mortality and disability trends to determine underlying causes.

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